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评论:2004.1.22: Fred的牌

 

杨     庆

 

让我们来看看高手的牌。总的来说,感觉西比较弱。

Board 1 - None Vul.

               North

               S AJ

               H QJ62

               D Q5

               C JT862

West                           East

S 7532                         S K84

H KT7                          H A84

D T9432                        D J86

C 4                            C KQ95

               South

               S QT96

               H 953

               D AK7

               C A73

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

               p              1C             d             

p              2C             p              2S             

p              2N             p              p             

p             

南虽然拿4-3-3-3,在1C后立刻加入叫牌;早期加入,是正确的。北的牌在南加倍后叫2C略微边缘,因为长套位置不利,Q,J又太多。也许简单2H邀一下更好,这样南北就会打2H。

但南的这手牌无论如何不会冒叫。2NT首攻方块,并且一有机会就攻方块可以hold到2,现在攻草花,后来又转攻红心,就轻松打成3了。

 

Board 2 - NS Vul.

               North

               S 9762

               H AJ65

               D J4

               C AT8

West                           East

S AJ54                         S KQ8

H 3                            H K9

D 963                          D AK852

C KQ975                        C J42

               South

               S T3

               H QT8742

               D QT7

               C 63

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

                               1N             p             

2C             p               2D             p             

3C             p               3D             p             

3S             p               4S             p             

5D             p               5N             p             

6C             p               p              p

东西叫上了缺2A的满贯,谁的错更大?一直到3S,叫牌都非常正常,3S后,东正确地选择4-3配的4S,而避免了毫无希望的3NT,这显然表明了红心上的虚弱;同时也否定了满贯兴趣。从西家角度来看,知道东红心中的虚弱,但拿红心单张,可能长将的人被逼吃,所以叫回5D,实属情有可原。不过,几乎可以肯定东的红心不会超过2张,要不然不会选4-3配的黑心。所以,4S还是应该甩掉,尽管,4S也要打得很小心才能做成,而5C是最容易的。西改到5D后,东自然要选贯。

虽然6C下一,但输得不多,肯定有很多人叫到了更差的3NT。

 

Board 3 - EW Vul.

               North

               S KJ752

               H T5

               D KQ7

               C Q93

West                           East

S T94                          S AQ863

H Q3                           H 9764

D T86                          D 432

C J8764                        C 5

               South

               S

               H AKJ82

               D AJ95

               C AKT2

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

                                              1H            

p              1S             p               3C            

p              3N             p               p             

p             

 

东错误地垫了副红心,多超了一墩。

 

Board 4 - Both Vul.

               North

               S 87542

               H AK

               D J63

               C A32

West                           East

S AQ6                          S JT9

H QT8542                       H 97

D K72                          D AQT9854

C T                            C 6

               South

               S K3

               H J63

               D

               C KQJ98754

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

1H             1S             d              2C            

p              3C             3D             5C            

p              p              p             

 

Contract: S - 5C / Opening Lead: D2 / Result: =

东西有便宜的5D牺牲,但是没有叫出来。拿巨长的套,作负加倍我觉得是很坏的--当然偶而会想我们在NAOP里那样搞中敌人。东的牌有单张,有红心承受能力,很好的方块套,似乎以直接叫方块更好。否则后面可能会出现不可解的局面。

 

Board 5 - NS Vul.

               North

               S 843

               H J7

               D AT763

               C 873

West                           East

S AK62                         S J5

H QT84                         H K63

D QJ4                          D K85

C K5                           C JT642

               South

               S QT97

               H A952

               D 92

               C AQ9

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

               p              p              1C            

d              1D             1N             p             

3N             p              p              p             

 

Contract: E - 3N / Opening Lead: D9 / Result: -1

东西叫高了,西的牌有多余牌力,但没有那么多,又没有配合,3NT太过了,东的1NT应该是有诚意的,但2NT邀叫也没有叫低,我以为。

南在第三张方块上受挤。垫红心,则第四张红心好了。草花不能垫,一垫,就有可能做成(如果红心被投入,但他可以解封,拒绝投入)。垫黑心,即使垫大黑心,以准备解封避免黑心上的投入,庄家仍然可以用红心投入;之后,如果南兑现草花,则黑心J成了进手;南最好用Q投出,但东兑现黑心J后,再用草花投入南,南将只有黑心到明手的A。

但不管怎么说,庄家只有第八墩,哪里也找不到第九墩。

 

 

Board 6 - EW Vul.

               North

               S J87432

               H A7

               D QJ94

               C 8

West                           East

S AK9                          S T6

H 8432                         H K9

D 86                           D KT75

C 9532                         C KQJT4

               South

               S Q5

               H QJT65

               D A32

               C A76

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

                               1C             1H            

2C             d               3C             d             

p              3S              p              p             

p             

 

Contract: N - 3S / Opening Lead: CK / Result: -1

北的加倍大概是应叫性,显示黑心,方块两套。南的加倍是选择性的,但北对惩罚当然没有兴趣。3S看起来输墩不多,但相当不好打。不过立刻将吃草花,意义看上去不大。动红心看起来机会更大,因为敌人即使将吃,有可能是用将牌赢墩。所以简单的办法是假定红花上有一门能飞中。现在的打法,两门都中,都宕了。幸好,碰上将牌10的阻塞,还是只宕了一。如果东机智地黑心10解封,就要宕二了。

看四家牌,制胜的路线是草花A赢进后,立刻打小黑心。这个实战中没有什么道理可以找到。

 

Board 7 - Both Vul.

               North

               S Q4

               H KJ974

               D 832

               C Q96

West                           East

S KT932                        S J865

H Q                            H 865

D T765                         D AK4

C AT5                          C K84

               South

               S A7

               H AT32

               D QJ9

               C J732

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

                                              1C            

p              1H             p               2H            

p              p              p             

 

Contract: N - 2H / Opening Lead: DA / Result: =

MP里,东肯定会在2H后平衡,在IMP,就没有那么显然。西的牌似乎可以争1S,早期介入总是危险不大的。尤其,对于平衡谨慎的人来说,争叫就需要更凶猛些。而且,套的质量还不错。东西的3S,需要将牌猜错,而且敌人早期动草花,才能打宕。防守并不容易。而2S总是铁的。南北的2H,因为草花T能飞中,也是铁的,当然,西立刻拔草花A,似乎也急了点,因为东可能有关键的草花9,一拔草花A,就送成了。

 

Board 8 - None Vul.

               North

               S 8

               H 85

               D AKQ9652

               C 865

West                           East

S KT                           S 972

H AK9                          H JT764

D JT87                         D 3

C JT42                         C AK73

               South

               S AQJ6543

               H Q32

               D 4

               C Q9

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

1D             p              1H             3S            

p              p              p             

 

Contract: S - 3S / Opening Lead: HA / Result: -2

东西没有被3S推到没有前途的4H,也没有人可以加倍。3S完全没有打法。南相信东的方块回攻是单张,没有续打方块。但想要将吃红心也是没有可能的。我觉得还是兑现方块好,如果东将吃,就垫掉草花,这样,如果东一个大意,没有回将,就可能得到红心将吃,因为东没有桥回手打将了。

 

Board 9 - EW Vul.

               North

               S A862

               H QT2

               D QJT42

               C 7

West                           East

S JT3                          S KQ

H A3                           H 97654

D AK83                         D 5

C AQJ8                         C 65432

                South

               S 9754

               H KJ8

               D 976

               C KT9

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

               p              p              p             

1D             p              1H             p             

2N             p              p              p             

 

 

Contract: W - 2N / Opening Lead: D4 / Result: =

东正确地没有在2NT后继续叫牌,寻找3张红心。注意北从QJTXX里攻出的是小。但2NT总是安全的。

 

Board 10 - Both Vul.

               North

               S Q742

               H Q842

               D A7432

               C

West                           East

S KJT                          S A93

H AKT75                        H J63

D 86                           D KQ

C J86                          C AKT75

               South

               S 865

               H 9

               D JT95

               C Q9432

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

                               1N             p             

2D             p               2H             p             

3N             p               p              p             

东的选择非常奇怪,有5张套,一门是KQ,3张红心支持,另一门是A,这牌无论如何都应该叫4H才对。虽然4-1的红心和5-0的草花分配下,4H也要小心才行,但总比3NT毫无机会要好

Contract: E - 3N / Opening Lead: DT / Result: -1

 

Board 11 - None Vul.

               North

               S Q9

               H T8

               D 973

               C AQJT83

West                           East

S AK843                        S 7652

H K                            H QJ65

D 865                          D AK2

C K542                         C 76

               South

               S JT

               H A97432

               D QJT4

               C 9

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

                                              2H            

2S             3C              3H             p             

3S             p               p              p             

 

 

Contract: W - 3S / Opening Lead: HT / Result: +1

我有一个建议,在这个序列下,你应该问一下你最喜欢的搭档,对3H加倍是什么意思,是鼓励继续竞叫呢,还是不鼓励首攻(鼓励首攻的意义不大)。

3S是好的定约,虽然这副牌里,因为黑心2-2,有3NT。在北叫3C后,就很难叫到这个幸运的3NT了。

首攻红心到A,自然转草花。北的牌看不到宕戏,除非南拿将牌K8或更好。不管怎么说,用10超过9是更好的打法,否则,南拿单9,黑心K8,就把这个3S送成了。幸好,这里,只亏了一个超墩。

 

 

Board 12 - NS Vul.

               North

               S KJT854

               H A

               D AT53

               C 94

West                           East

S 62                           S Q97

H KQ9754                       H J86

D K984                         D J76

C T                            C Q875

               South

               S A3

               H T32

               D Q2

               C AKJ632

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

2H             2S             3H             4C            

p              4S             p              p             

p             

 

Contract: N - 4S / Opening Lead: H6 / Result: =

北拿2杆红A,在4C之后选择叫回4S,这样4S就停住了。因为方块是冻结套,虽然草花4-1,6C还是做的。

4S里,北选择更为稳妥的将方块的路线。虽然草花K被将掉,但定约还是安全的。因为不然的话,北可以打草花将吃,再将方块。

 

 

Board 13 - Both Vul.

               North

               S 984

               H AJ72

               D 3

               C QT632

West                           East

S AKT75                        S J32

H 64                           H KQT8

D KJT                          D AQ82

C A97                          C J4

               South

               S Q6

               H 953

               D 97654

               C K85

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

               p              1D             p             

1S             p              1N             p             

2D!            p              2S             p             

3C             p              3N             p             

4S             p              p              p             

 

 

Contract: W - 4S / Opening Lead: D3 / Result: +2

东西稳稳地停在4S。6S因为幸运的分配,只有草花首攻可以打宕。

 

Board 14 - None Vul.

               North

               S QJ53

               H Q964

               D 2

               C 6432

West                           East

S 9742                         S AK8

H 8                            H AK53

D KJ953                        D T6

C QT7                          C AJ98

               South

               S T6

               H JT72

               D AQ874

               C K5

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

                               2N             p             

3C             p               3H             p             

3N             p               p              p             

 

 

Contract: E - 3N / Opening Lead: D7 / Result: =

这个3N没有花头,即使首攻黑心或红心,依然打不宕。方块首攻,使得更加容易而已。

 

Board 15 - NS Vul.

               North

               S AQT983

               H K9643

               D A

               C 7

West                           East

S KJ72                         S 65

H T2                           H 87

D QJ4                          D T98753

C K953                         C AJ2

               South

               S 4

               H AQJ5

               D K62

               C QT864

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

                                              1C            

p              1S             p              1N            

p              3H             p              4D            

p              4S             p              5H            

p              6H             p              p             

p             

 

Contract: N - 6H / Opening Lead: CA / Result: =

3H应该保证5张。已知9张将牌配合,南的牌即使在低花上只有慢赢墩,还是扣叫表示兴趣。北的4S应该不逼叫,因为南也可能是黑心配合。南现在自然地叫回红心。北知道缺草花A,但6-5的牌,满贯应该至少好于一飞。

东首攻草花A,因为北标明是6-5高花,在低花上0-2的可能是不大的,所以换攻方块更好一些。方块换攻后,因为黑心歪分,庄家手上将牌太小,及进手问题,打起来要困难地多。现在回草花,把明手的草花做好了,不需要担心黑心和红心的歪分,轻松做成。

 

 

Board 16 - EW Vul.

               North

               S 73

               H AK43

               D AQ6

               C AJ64

West                           East

S 84                           S KJ9

H Q62                          H J975

D J98754                       D 3

C K8                           C 97532

               South

               S AQT652

               H T8

               D KT2

               C QT

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

p              1C             p              1S            

p              2N             p              3H!           

p              3S!            p              4S!           

p              5S             p              p             

p             

 

Contract: S - 5S / Opening Lead: D8 / Result: +1

不知道这些提示是什么意思。南北停在5S,事实上,5S也有点高了,但黑花上分配非常好。7都是铁的。南在5上,自然采取安全打法。注意东第二墩将牌上的打法,从KJ里跟J。这是很好的。西也许有10,跟J就给庄家一个猜断。

 

Board 17 - None Vul.

               North

               S AQJ975

               H 74

               D KT7

               C AQ

West                           East

S 83                           S K64

H AKJT3                        H Q65

D A4                           D 9862

C KT87                         C 964

               South

               S T2

               H 982

               D QJ53

               C J532

 

West           North          East            South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

               1S             p              p             

d              r              p              p             

2H             2S             p              p             

3C             p              3H             p             

p              p             

 

Contract: W - 3H / Opening Lead: H4 / Result: -1

西好像叫得有点多了,不过同伴的牌实在不错。否则3H可能会死得很难看。这里可能原因是西以为再加倍后2H不保证实力。但左家已经表明了一手强牌,还是相当危险。

西打得也不好,先清将,总是错误的,因为草花上的输张无法交代。HQ赢进后正确的办法是立刻飞草花,草花A肯定在北家,所以要双飞。北再打红心,西打黑心到K,再飞草花。北黑心A可以进手,但打不出将了--如果能打出,就只有希望草花3-3了。现在西再进手可以兑现草花K,发现不是3-3,但明手还可以得到一墩将吃。西实际上的打法,是放弃了。

 

 

 

Board 18 - NS Vul.

               North

               S QJ2

               H 642

               D AQ9872

               C 9

West                           East

S T98765                       S AK

H J987                         H KQT53

D JT5                          D 6

C                              C Q8532

               South

               S 43

               H A

               D K43

               C AKJT764

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

                               1H             2C            

4H             p               p              p             

 

 

Contract: E - 4H / Opening Lead: CK / Result: =

南北的不利局况,南在4H后没有再叫牌。但5C是好的牺牲,但要注意将牌上防止0-5,先拔个A就完了。4H里,东没有选择交叉将吃,而是建立明手黑心的路线。牌张的分布,什么线路都成。

 

Board 19 - EW Vul.

               North

               S T7632

               H KQ2

               D 9

               C AJ65

West                           East

S QJ9                          S K84

H 873                          H AT95

D K3                           D AJT76

C 98743                        C T

               South

               S A5

               H J64

               D Q8542

               C KQ2

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

                                              1D            

p              1S             p               1N            

p              p              p             

 

Contract: S - 1N / Opening Lead: C9 / Result: =

南开1D后,东没有办法加入叫牌,不利的局况,使得1NT后的平衡也太危险。如果攻黑心,也许能给1NT一些困难,但草花首攻,庄家第一墩就摊了。

 

Board 20 - Both Vul.

               North

               S AJ6

               H 9872

               D 875

               C QT8

West                           East

S KQ873                        S T5

H J                            H K543

D 9                            D KQJT643

C J76432                       C

               South

               S 942

               H AQT6

               D A2

               C AK95

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

p              p              3D             3N            

p              p              p             

 

Contract: S - 3N / Opening Lead: D9 / Result: =

3NT是大胆的举动,我相信未必是大众选择。拿方块的AX,很多人可能会加倍。但3N后,面临再叫问题,尤其如果同伴叫3S,南的剩余牌力无法叫出来。要是再叫3NT,可能会太强了

3N十分幸运,因为尽管有4-4配的H,因为将牌4-1,红心6-0,方块7-1,4H基本上是没前途的。而3NT,虽然方块只有一止,双飞红心后,轻松做成。

 

 

Board 21 - NS Vul.

               North

               S KJ97

               H KQJT8

               D A4

               C 62

West                           East

S 6432                         S AQ8

H 932                          H A76

D QT                           D J9852

C AKQJ                         C 53

               South

               S T5

               H 54

               D K763

               C T9874

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS        brad           markf          fred

               1N             p              p             

p             

 

Contract: N - 1N / Opening Lead: D2 / Result: -3

北家的牌如果开1H,将面临再叫问题:如果南应叫逼叫性的1NT,北应什么2C/D,可能会叫到非常愚昧的低花定约。不过我觉得红心这么好,干脆再叫2H也不坏。但北选择逃避这些问题,开1NT,毕竟他的14点是很好的。北家前面的牌里,出了好几次“幸好”,这一次就没那么幸运了。

首攻方块后,北选择明手拎住,打黑心,跳K,但不成功;这样连建立红心的时机也没有了。本来定约冲宕四去了,东西的信号出了问题,让北多拿了一墩。

 

 

Board 22 - EW Vul.

               North

               S JT4

               H 9854

               D KQ8

               C 974

West                           East

S Q97                          S K653

H AT62                         H K3

D 96                           D AJT75

C AT82                         C Q3

               South

               S A82

               H QJ7

                D 432

               C KJ65

 

West           North          East           South

WarrenS                        markf          fred

                               1D             p             

1H             p               1S             p             

1N             p               p              p             

 

 

Contract: W - 1N / Opening Lead: DQ / Result: +1

这是彻底的平牌。

 

总的来说,牌比较平,但这一方面是双方主动出击和主动失误都不太多。叫牌也比较保守,所以在打牌中,赌注相对比较少。


2004/01/23

 
 
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